Red-hot US inflation hammers European shares amid recession fears

ropean Central Bank said it would deliver next month its first interest rate hike since 2011, and a potentially larger move in September.

“Markets are in a state of nervousness because the stickiness of inflation essentially forces the central banks to double down on their tightening,” said Dhaval Joshi, chief strategist at BCA Research. “The most important question is whether central banks are going to take the economy into recession to conquer inflation.”

“Then the sell-off will transform from a valuation sell-off to a profit sell-off.”

Banks, already suffering from heavy losses in peripheral lenders such as those in Italy, accelerated losses on worries about widening spreads between bond yields in Italy and Germany.

“The second reason for banks is that if we’re in a stagflation risk, then obviously banks will do badly because of the rising default rates, bad loans and bad debt provisioning,” Joshi said.

Concerns also mounted about demand and growth in China, the world’s second-largest economy, after Shanghai and Beijing imposed new COVID-19 lockdown restrictions.

Investors pulled out money from European equity funds in the week to Wednesday, marking the 17th consecutive week of outflows, due to uncertainties related to the Russia-Ukraine war, BofA said.

Among individual stocks, GSK rose 1.4% after the drugmaker said its vaccine for respiratory syncytial virus was successful in a late-stage trial involving older adults.

Regional airlines fell as labour strife in Europe drive expectations of more travel headaches during the busy summer season.

Ryanair, International Consolidated Airlines, Lufthansa and Wizz Air dropped between 2.1% and 3.1%.